By Rich Wellins, Ph.D.
DDI’s CEO, Bill Byham, is always thinking. In 2000, he wrote a best-seller called Grow Your Own Leaders (Financial Times Prentice Hall Books) and reinforced the “war for talent” which he predicted would be especially acute at higher leadership levels due to an aging workforce.
That was back then. Fast forward to 2010, the “leadership world” according to Bill has changed. The war for talent may well be over for many parts of the world. And, the leadership pipeline may become clogged.
Why? For one, advances in healthcare make it much more likely that people will live for longer. The traditional 10-15 golden years could extend to 15-20. Many people, (not all) find this a bit long for “retirement” and are increasingly worried they will outlive their savings.
Perhaps a bigger reason is the enormous economic losses we faced in the last two years—many people are simply unable to retire. The potential consequences are enormous:
- What happens to younger high-pos interested in rapid progression? Will we be able to hang on to them? Are they likely to start their own “younger Incs,” competing with traditional corporations.
- What do you do with senior managers coasting to retirement? It’s one thing to tolerate a bit lower productivity for the final years of a career. But what happens if “coasting” goes on for five years or more?
- Will the clogged pipeline lead to stale business models, less innovation, and diminished chances for change? Diversity, especially at leadership levels, is key to business success.
So, do you think the war for talent has ended–at least for the next five years? Are you worried about a clogged pipeline? We’re interested in what you think can be done about it.
Rich Wellins is senior vice president at Development Dimensions International (DDI).


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